Katerina Tsygourova vs Maria Toma Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Katerina Tsygourova wins 36.18% of points on her second serve, slightly below Maria Toma's 36.75% over the last six months.
• Both players have similar first serve return stats, with Katerina returning 36.72% and Maria 36.03% of their opponents' first serves.
• When it comes to second serve returns, Maria Toma holds a small edge, winning 51.67% compared to Katerina's 50.24%.
• How do these return stats affect the match outcome? Given Maria's slight advantage, she may have an edge in returning second serves.
• Maria Toma has shown better performance under pressure, saving 47.58% of breakpoints compared to Katerina's 42.89%.
• Katerina Tsygourova has a higher match win percentage this past year, at 57.58%, compared to Maria Toma's 48.00%.
• Both players have a 54% win rate on indoor hard courts, their best surface, but Maria struggles more on hard courts (40% win rate) than Katerina (52%).
• Katerina has dominated Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, winning 76.47% of matches, while Maria has won 48.78% at the same level.
• Who has the edge in direct encounters? Katerina has won their only head-to-head match convincingly, 6-1, 6-2.
• In matches that go to a deciding set, Katerina has come out on top 60% of the time, compared to Maria's 42% success rate.
• Katerina faces slightly less challenging opponents on average, as indicated by her opponents' higher average rank of 380.39 compared to Maria's 357.68.
• This slight discrepancy in opponent rank highlights Maria's experience against possibly tougher competition.
• Katerina converts breakpoints more efficiently, with a conversion rate of 44.40%, versus Maria's 40.91%.

Editorial Prediction (November 13, 2025, UTC):

Katerina Tsygourova has shown impressive form in recent tournaments and leads in key statistical areas, particularly in converting breakpoints and deciding sets. Despite Maria Toma's minor advantage on second serve returns, Katerina's consistent performance in tough matches and superior form in direct meetings between the two cannot be overlooked.

Additionally, Katerina's higher breakpoint conversion rate and match win percentage suggest resilience and adaptability during pressure moments.

While Maria has faced more challenging opponents, the overall statistics and past performance trends suggest Katerina Tsygourova is the likely winner for this upcoming match.